Jacobs was elected for the first time in the 27th special elections in the soon-to-be-disbanded 27th constituency to replace Chris Collins, a former GOP spokesman, after he resigned in 2019 before pleading guilty to insider trading. Just two weeks ago, there was no reason to think that Jacob would have difficulty securing a GOP nomination in the new District 23 as the June 10 submission deadline approached, but his comments on the weapons provoked a sharp reaction from local Republicans and conservative activists. quickly made it clear that it would support the main challenger.
Even before his comments on weapons, Jacobs already had one major potential vulnerability in the event of a major primary challenger being revealed: he represents only 36% of his new district after redistribution, and much of the remaining 64% is rural outside his suburban Buffalo base. where Republican voters strongly oppose arms security laws.
On Thursday, before Jacobs announced his resignation, one of his main contenders had actually appeared when Tompkins County legislature Mike Sigler announced that he would run in the redrawn 23rd district. Sigler ran in the 22nd constituency, with a redistribution order dismantling the lines and moving the Tompkins constituency, a very blue constituency, to the adjacent 19th constituency, which is much more competitive than the safe red 23rd constituency. Although Sigler does not live in the renovated 23rd city, he says he is already going to work in the Tiogas area and would move there if he wins.
In addition, supporters of the GOP’s chairman, Nick Langworth, have reportedly circulated petitions in case he ran against Jacobs, even though Langworth had not yet commented on his intentions before Jacobs was rescued. Sigler, meanwhile, had said he was watching what Langworth was doing and could reconsider his decision if the party chairman joined the race, while Republican Sen. George Borello did not rule out running shortly before Jacob was ousted.
Senate
● AZ-SenEntrepreneur Jim Lamon has unveiled a scorching ad attacking Blake Masters, a former head of the Tylus capital on Thursday, who called on Masters to be anti-Semitic over various articles dating back to college, ahead of the August GOP election.
The ad said the Masters had once called World War II “unfair,” according to a conspiracy theorist who traded in centuries-old anti-Semitic noise, that Zionist Jews were “promoting the New World Order,” Facebook shared an article equating Israel with North Korea. , praised Unabomber and referred to a “strong quote” from Nazi leader Herman Goering. The ad does not mention a new report about how the Masters recently agreed with the host on May 25 that the campaign finance disclosure rules are “like Kristallnacht,” the infamous Nazi pogrom that laid the groundwork for the Holocaust.
Meanwhile, the super-PAC, backed by Masters chief benefactor Peter Tulle, a far-right technology billionaire who has invested $ 13.5 million of his money to support the Masters. has skipped its ad against Lamoni, who is attacking him for a crime that … did business in China, fostering the same anti-Asian sentiment that has contributed to the rise of hate crimes in the Trump era.
● NC-Sen: Several television stations in North Carolina have removed an advertisement for the NRSC attack because it contained false allegations about Democrat candidate Cherry Bysley while she was the state’s chief justice. The site refers to an “offender of child pornography” and says Bysley “voted for his release.” But Bisley did nothing of the sort. Rather, she joined the majority in 2019, which upheld a lower court ruling finding police had illegally searched a USB drive owned by defendant James Terell. As CBS explains, Terels was not released as a result of the decision and remained in prison until the end of last year.
This is the second NRSC ad to be aired in the last few weeks due to false allegations: New Hampshire stations recently stopped broadcasting a program that unjustifiably claimed that Senator Meggy Hasan had raised gas prices while she was governor. Such advertisements are vulnerable to removal claims, as television and radio stations may be held liable for defamatory third-party content, so outside groups tend to be very cautious in making allegations.
This time, however, the committee reacted with an angry threat after its negligence led to another unforced error. “This strange announcement from a television station that has yet to receive or even ask for a justification for our claim will be taken into account by our media buyers when making further decisions to purchase advertising,” the spokesman said. However, the threat is as stagnant as it can be: if the NRSC stops buying further commercials on stations it doesn’t like, it will only limit the number of voters it can reach.
● NV-Sen, NV-Gov: In a new survey by the University of Nevada, Reno reveals Democrats have broad advantages in state tent competitions, but these shortcomings are likely to be due to greater recognition of names by incumbents compared to potential competitors.
Candidate Catherine Corteso Masters is running former state attorney general Adam Laksalt (48:27) and businessman Sam Brown (47:24) to run for a second term, but only 41% of GOP voters say they are “very” or “extremely” familiar. with Laxalt and only 20% say the same about Brown. Meanwhile, Governor Steve Sisolak is 43:31 ahead of Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, 44:21 against former Senator Dean Heller and 43:17 against former professional boxer Joy Gilbert. Again, visibility among Republican voters is relatively low, with 48% saying they know very well or very well about Lombardo and everyone else who is below it.
The UNR also asked about the GOP pre-election in both races, but this did not seem to allow respondents to say they had not made a decision. This is a critical shortcoming, as it forces voters to decide when they may not be ready to do so, and many may not be ready given their limited knowledge of most candidates. For this reason, we do not report such surveys.
● PA-Sen: Dave McCormick, a wealthy former hedge fund manager, has finally given in to the GOP pre-election TV personality Mehmet Oz, who will meet with Democratic Governor Lieutenant John Feterman this fall. Until the countdown to the polls ends on June 8, Oz beat McCormick on Friday by just 31.2-31.1, with less than 1,000 votes out of more than 1.3 million ballots.
As for Feterman, the NRSC’s first advertisement to attack a Democrat after winning last month’s pre-election is expected. The site, which is reportedly backed by a $ 1.5 million purchase, claims that Feterman “sided with the Socialists”, “supported the government’s takeover of health care” and “covered part of the Green New Agreement, which would cost you $ 50,000. per year “. (The latter refers to a study by the right-wing think tank, and of course reported by Fox News.) For some reason, the ad is framed around a bunch of fake Fetterman supporters who hit the sides of the campaign van and beyond. pulling out a bunch of silly signs behind him, including one that literally says “Public Health Care” and is thoughtfully decorated with kaduceus.
● WA-Sen: The Northwest Progressive Institute, which has regularly hired a Democrat poll to conduct a public policy poll to test the Washington Senate race, reveals that Democrat senator Petey Maray is comfortably leading his potential Republican opponent, motivational speaker Tiffany Smiley. Murray has a 51:40 lead over Smiley, which is very similar to her 50:41 lead in February and matches previous PPP polls.
governors
● WI-Gov: Donald Trump has backed wealthy businessman Tim Michel, who took office as GOP pre-election governor quite late, but has spent a lot of money promoting himself. Michelle’s main contender for the Republican head, former governor Lieutenant Rebecca Klefish, replied, saying: “If I know anything about President Trump, then he likes the winners, and I’m the only person in this race who has won. four times.” Well, except that he doesn’t like you?
House
● FL-04: Aaron Bain, interim president of the Republican Senate, has confirmed his candidacy for the red chair. Bain joins the primary field in August, which includes state representative Jason Fischer and Navy veteran Eric Agillar.
● HI-02: EMILY’s List is backed by former State Senator Jill Tokudo in the Hawaii Islands’ 2nd Congressional Democrat Pre-Election.
● NH-02: Former Hillborough District Treasurer Robert Burns has announced that he will run here in the September GOP primary area, which includes zealous Mayor George Hansel. Hansel, who recently joined the race with the support of Governor Chris Sunun, calls himself a choice and positions himself as relatively moderate, in contrast to the steadfastly conservative Burns in the fight for Democrat Annie Kuster. blue seat this fall.
● NV-02: Congressional Leaders Foundation, the main PAC in the House of Representatives’ GOP leadership, $ 220,000 is reported to be spent to assist Representative Mark Amode before his June 14 pre-election with multi-year candidate Denny Tarkanian. In fact, the CLF’s ad begins by naming Tarkanian, who shockedly succeeded as Douglas County Commissioner in 2020, as a six-time loser who only traveled from Las Vegas to northern Nevada in pursuit of a public office. . He then accuses him of immigration, saying Tarks “attacked President Trump’s strong immigration policy.”
There was little indication in the past that Amodey was particularly vulnerable, although today any Republican with the slightest attraction is at risk from a more MAGA-friendly opponent. However, the With Honor Foundation, which supports military veterans in both parties, recently invested about $ 250,000 to increase Amode (he served in the Army’s JAG corps), while the previously unknown America First Voices fired $ 70,000 for shipments that recently attacked the historic sender. month. CLF can just play it safe, or it can see real signs that Amode is in trouble.
● SD-AL: Republican Dusty Johnson does not appear to be taking a risk in the fight against state representative Tefy Howard and is showing several commercials shortly before the June 7 election. In her first ad, Johnson talks about how she helped pass a number of bills during her tenure, and criticizes Howard for failing to pass a bill in her state legislature. The second ad condemns the unmentioned attacks on Johnson and highlights how he opposed a number of possible “Baiden agenda” policies.
● DCCC: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has made its first batch of autumn TV ad reservations, which includes $ 21.5 million in reservations in 13 media markets in seven states. The reservations are intended, to a large extent, if not entirely, to protect the seats held by Democrats. You can find our assessment of which areas these reservations are likely to cover in our tracking spreadsheet, which includes previous bookings from the two main super-PACs – the House Majority PAC on the left and the Congressional Leaders Fund on the right. The GOP’s official campaign group, the NRCC, has yet to get involved in the fight.
Advertising summary
Amounts in dollars reflect reported ad purchases and may be higher.