Drummond also used his campaign to portray O’Connor as overly loyal to the governor, saying, “Actually, Governor Stitt has his own personal attorney, and the state of Oklahoma doesn’t.” Stitt himself ran into trouble this month when he produced a commercial — ostensibly for his re-election campaign — after authorities began investigating whether it broke the law by focusing too much on promoting O’Connor. Critics charged that the spot violated state rules that prevent one candidate from contributing more than $2,900 to another candidate (the ad ran for $340,000) or promoting another candidate within 30 days of the primary; O’Connor denied having any knowledge of the location.
In the end, although Stitt won the nomination easily, there weren’t enough primary voters willing to support his nominee for attorney general that day. Democrats are not fielding a general election candidate, however, so Drummond will only face a libertarian in November.
● How could we no discuss the Supreme Court’s gutting of abortion rights on this week’s episode of The Downballot? Co-hosts David Neer and David Byrd talk about why Democratic leaders need to lay out a clear plan for the election results they need — a Senate majority to reform the filibuster — and what they plan to do if voters get their way, which they have important to wait for more data before we draw conclusions about what Dobbs the ruling means for November. We also dig into one early data point — a surprisingly close special election in a Red House district in Nebraska — and recap several of Tuesday’s key primaries.
We’re also joined by Pennsylvania election law attorney Adam Bonin, a longtime Daily Kos contributor who knows every race in the Keystone State. Adam talks about the recent shock voting rights victory he helped win at the Supreme Court; explains why a trio of state Supreme Court races in 2015 paved the way for unequal legislative maps in 2022; and updates us on Democrat John Fetterman’s campaign to flip the state Senate seat.
Please subscribe to The Downballot Apple Podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts. A transcript of this week’s episode will be available here until noon ET.
● GA-Sen, GA-Gov: The latest Quinnipiac University poll finds Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock with a big 54-44 lead over Republican Herschel Walker, a significant improvement for Warnock from Walker’s 49-48 lead in Quinnipiac’s January poll. Meanwhile, in the governor’s race, GOP incumbent Brian Kemp is tied 48-48 with Democrat Stacey Abrams, a more modest improvement from Kemp’s 49-47 lead in January.
These results are the best for Democrats in any polling cycle in both Senate and gubernatorial races, and it’s a good idea to wait to see if other pollsters find a similar swing to the left and if it continues in the coming weeks before reassessing the situation. either race. Survey experts are also warned that recent polls might paint an overly optimistic picture of Democrats right now if the Supreme Court’s June 24 decision is overturned. Roe v. Wadethe decision, which came while Quinnipiac was on the field June 23-27, has angered Democratic voters and prompted them to respond to polls at unusually higher rates than Republicans.
● WI-Sen: Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel reports that a new super PAC called Courageous Leaders PAC is putting at least $450,000 into an initial ad campaign to promote Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, making it one of the first major outside expenditures of the August Democratic primary. The narrator claims that while Republican incumbent Ron Johnson is a millionaire who only cares about other rich and powerful people, Barnes is “the voice of hard-working middle-class families” who will “make big corporations and the rich pay their dues.” fair share and lower taxes for the middle class to make things more affordable for us.”
● AZ-GovFormer Rep. Matt Salmon endorsed Board of Regents Karin Taylor Robson on Wednesday, an announcement less than 24 hours after Salmon dropped out of the August Republican primary. Salmon did not mention Robeson’s one major rival within the party, Trump-backed former TV anchor Kari Lake, although he said last week he believed she would lose general election.
On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Kathy Hobbs is launching an ad highlighting the death threats she received in 2020, telling the audience, “As your secretary of state, I knew I would face attacks. But when they followed my family, our country, our freedom, that’s where I draw the line.”
● FL-Gov: Rep. Charlie Crist has released an internal GBAO poll that gives him a 55-34 lead over Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried in the August Democratic primary. The recent St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics has Krista leading 49-24, while Freed released an internal poll earlier this month that had her trailing just 38-34.
● MI-Gov: Wealthy businessman Perry Johnson finally said this week that he will not run a write-in campaign to win the August GOP primary. Johnson, who spent $7 million of his own money before election officials took his name off the ballot due to fraudulent voter petition signatures, told Fox 2’s Tim Skubik that while he “really” wanted to try, he never could convince his wife or justify self-financing for at least $15 million more. Johnson quickly overcame this brief moment of pragmatism, however, as he later used the interview to express interest in running for president.
● MI-11, MI-13: Detroit News reports that the hawkish pro-Israel group AIPAC has reserved a total of $1.5 million in television advertising in the Detroit media market for the week of June 28 to air ads promoting Rep. Senator Adam Hollier in the August primary on the 13th, although there is no word on how the reservation is divided. An ad supporting Stevens highlights her work on Barack Obama’s auto rescue task force, while an ad for Hollier praises his expertise on gun safety and abortion rights.
● NV-03: The Tarrance Group, which works on behalf of Republican April Becker and the NRCC, finds that Becker is ahead of Democrat Susie Lee (46-44) in southern Las Vegas County, which Biden would have won 52-46. This internal which selected 400 possible voters, is the first poll we’ve seen in this competition. Lee, meanwhile, is one of several Democrats across the country who recently launched an ad campaign focused on her opponent’s opposition to abortion rights.
● OR-05Democrat Jamie McLeod-Skinner’s 314 Action allies, who just endorsed him last week, have released a Public Policy Polling poll showing a tight race, with Republican Laurie Chavez-DeRemer leading 42-41 in a seat that would have been won by Joe Biden. carried 53-44. The poll, the first we’ve seen of the matchup, was conducted June 1-2, just days after the Associated Press predicted McLeod-Skinner would beat conservative Rep. Kurt Schrader in the May 17 primary. Since then, Schrader has angrily refused to endorse his party’s nominee, saying in mid-June, “The red tide is starting in Oregon’s 5th District.”
● MD AG: Although rep. Anthony Brown has looked like the favorite to win the Democratic primary for attorney general almost since he surprised some observers by announcing his statewide bid to successfully unseat incumbent Brian Frosh in October, a new poll from Goucher College shows in the race. three weeks until the July 19 primaries. The school finds former judge Katie Curran O’Malley edging Brown 30-29 in a poll for The Baltimore Banner and WYPR. The only other recent poll we’ve seen was from OpinionWorks in early June, which had the congressman ahead 42-29. O’Malley would be the first woman to serve as attorney general, while Brown would be the first African-American to hold the position.
Both candidates have campaigned as ardent progressives in this blue state, where the GOP hasn’t won an attorney general election since 1918, but O’Malley was the first to take a negative stance on television last week. ( Washington The Post says no other Democratic state candidate, including the many gubernatorial contenders, “had released an ad this year that directly targeted a primary opponent.) Curran O’Malley uses her ad to open by discussing her “30 years of experience” as a prosecutor and judge, adding, “I will now run to be Maryland’s first female attorney general.”
Curran O’Malley then declares, “My opponent, Anthony Brown, is a great congressman, but he has never tried a criminal case in Maryland and has no experience for the job.” Brown will have the resources to respond, as his lead on June 7 was between $1.2 million and $840,000.
Curran O’Malley and Brown have long been prominent figures in Old Line State politics. Curran O’Malley, who served as a district court judge in Baltimore from 2001 until her resignation last year, became Maryland’s first lady after her husband, Martin O’Malley, was elected governor in 2006, a position she held for such a time. eight years. (Curran O’Malley was banned from campaigning for him or participating in other partisan activities during this time.)
Brown, on the other hand, was O’Malley’s running mate in 2006, and their victory made him Maryland’s first black governor. Brown sought the top job in 2014 when his boss was fired, but lost the general election to Republican Larry Hogan. However, Brown bounced back from a much-mocked campaign two years later to win a House seat in the D.C. suburbs, and next month’s primary triumph will make him one of the state’s leading politicians once again.
● IL-14: AP has called in the Republican primary for Illinois’ 14th District for Kendall County Board Chairman Scott Grider, who defeated perennial candidate James Marter 31-24, while conservative radio host Mike Coolidge finished third with 21%. (In a previous roundup, we incorrectly described Koolidge as the leader.) Grider will face Democratic Rep. Lauren Underwood in November.
● OK-02: Former state Sen. Josh Breheen will join state Rep. Avery Fricks in the Aug. 23 GOP runoff in Oklahoma’s open 2nd Congressional District, according to the AP. called him second place Wednesday. Fricks beat Breheen 15-14 in the primary, while Muskogee Police Chief Johnny Teehey won 13 percent. The winner will be a lock in November in this safe red district.