This is just one of many huge races that return to the primary season with a vengeance tonight, but it’s not even the only one where Trump made a last-second run. On Friday night, he announced his support for Michigan gubernatorial hopeful Tudor Dixon, whom he had previously praised as “very special” at a February fundraiser she cleverly hosted at Mar-a-Lago (at her own expense, of course). Between his dual endorsement in the Show Me State and his late move to Dixon’s lead campaign — she’s been largely ahead in the polls and Democrats have even begun running ads attacking her — these moves may just offer Trump a chance to add to his own. win-loss record.
But Trump has a lot more skin in the game that goes beyond this pair of races. He’s supporting “The Big Lie” in his bid to take over all three of Arizona’s top vote-getter offices — governor, attorney general and secretary of state — while seeking revenge against a trio of House Republicans from Michigan and Washington. who voted to impeach him, among others.
We’ve rounded up all of these contests and more in our preview of Tuesday’s primaries. Our live broadcast will start at 8:00 PM ET Daily Kos Elections, when polls close in Missouri, as well as most of Kansas and Michigan. You can too follow us on twitter for detailed updates, and you can track the results of each of these key races with our cheat page, which we’ll keep updated throughout election night.
● FL-Gov: State Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Frieda is launching her first TV ad ahead of Florida’s Aug. 23 primary, which goes after her primary rival, Charlie Crist, without ever mentioning him by name. Walking through a field of mannequins standing in place of Florida’s previous governors, Fried says, “Florida has had 46 governors, some good, some bad — and one depends on which way the wind blows” — a reference to the party switch Christ, who in 2006 was elected state leader as a Republican in 2010, became an independent state in 2010, and joined the Democratic Party in 2012.
Frieda goes on to describe herself as “the only Democrat elected nationally, the only pro-choice Democrat, the only Democrat who has never taken a dime from the National Rifle Association.” Crist has said he supports abortion rights, but has also called himself a “pro-lifer,” including in an interview this spring after the Supreme Court’s ruling was overturned. Roe was leaked. Politico reports that Freed has booked a $1.5 million statewide purchase.
● KS-Gov: Far-right state Sen. Dennis Pyle, who left the GOP and announced his run for governor as a conservative independent in June, submitted nearly 9,000 signatures Monday to get on the November ballot, well over the 5,000 required by law. The Sunflower State Journal’s Brad Cooper reports that officials don’t appear to have a deadline for reviewing Pyle’s signatures, but say they plan to do so by Sept. 1.
Democrats are hoping that Pyle — who appears to hate GOP presumptive nominee Attorney General Derek Schmidt as much, if not more, than Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly — will take away Schmidt’s votes and boost Kelly at this very serious time. a difficult re-election campaign. Indeed, a Democratic state lawmaker and a union that backed Kelly in 2018 were among those helping Pyle gather signatures. However, no polls have been released since Pyle’s arrival, so it’s not yet possible to tell how much this gambit might or might not help.
● MN-Gov: A new Cygnal internal poll of presumptive GOP nominee Scott Jensen has him trailing Democratic Gov. Tim Walz by a 50-46 margin. However, the survey did not include other candidates whose names will appear on the November ballot, including two different pro-marijuana parties that won “major party” status in 2018 and will select candidates in the Aug. 9 primary. It also did not mention Hugh McTavish of the Independence Party, which is no longer recognized as a major party (meaning its candidates must individually petition their way onto the ballot) but has made an impact in previous years, sometimes scoring in double figures. .
● RI-Gov: Former Rep. Patrick Kennedy, who left office more than a decade ago but whose family remains one of the most famous in New England politics, endorsed former CVS CEO Helen Foulkes in her bid for governor late last week. While Kennedy no longer lives in Rhode Island, WPRI’s Ted Nesi describes Foulkes as “a longtime family friend whose uncle, former Connecticut U.S. Sen. Chris Dodd, was a close friend of Patrick Kennedy’s father, Ted Kennedy.” At the same event, Foulkes also received the endorsement of Providence Mayor Jorge Elorza, who shocked Ocean State politics last year by choosing to stay out of the governor’s race.
● FL-14: A state court judge has removed wealthy businessman Jerry Torres from the Aug. 23 Republican primary because Torres was in Africa when a Mississippi notary public claimed he was physically present when he signed the candidate’s affidavit required to file for office. Torres, who had pledged to spend as much as $15 million of his own money in an effort to unseat Democratic Rep. Cathy Castor, says he will appeal the ruling. Florida’s 14th District, which covers Tampa and St. Petersburg, would have voted 59-40 for Joe Biden, according to Dave’s Governing app.
● FL-27: Floridians for Economic Advancement, a PAC that Florida Politics says supports candidates from both parties, has released a poll that finds Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar led Democratic state Sen. Annette Taddeo by a 39-34 margin, with a whopping 27% of voters undecided. It’s unclear what interest the PAC might have, and it didn’t even name its pollster in its slide deck detailing the results. However, FiveThirtyEight reports that the poll was conducted by Alvarado Strategies, a firm run by GOP strategist Alex Alvarado, which is the target of an investigation into a Republican scheme to promote fake “ghost candidates” to undermine Democrats in three key state Senate races. 2020 year.
● NM-02: Las Cruces City Councilman Gabe Vasquez has released the first public poll in New Mexico’s redistricted 2nd Congressional District, and a Global Strategy Group poll shows him leading Republican Rep. Yvette Herrel 45-44. Democrats dramatically flipped the 2nd in the redistricting process, transforming it from a seat that voted 55-43 for Donald Trump to one that would have supported Joe Biden 52-46.
● NY-03, NY-04, NY-16: 32BJ The SEIU, which represents builders and is one of the most politically powerful unions in the New York area, issued endorsements Monday in several local races with unions in contentious Democratic primaries. In the open Long Island Districts 3 and 4, 32BJ supports Suffolk County Deputy Executive John Kaiman and former Hempstead Supervisor Laura Gillen, respectively, while in the Bronx and Westchester District 16, it supports Rep. Jamal Bowman, who faces a couple of challengers. The union did not take a stand in the open 10th District or in the member-to-member race in the 12th District between Rep. Carolyn Maloney and Jerry Nadler.
● NY-10: While it’s common practice for Nancy Pelosi to endorse members of her caucus, Rep. Mondera Jones’ trip to New York’s 10th District was nothing out of the ordinary, so it’s worth noting that Pelosi has been given by the freshman congressman her endorsement comes three weeks before the crowded Democratic primary is decided. Jones was pushed out of the redrawn 17th District, which included his home base of Rockland County in the lower Hudson Valley north of New York, when DCCC Chairman Sean Patrick Maloney decided to vacate the 18th District to fill a single seat. south instead. Jones decided to migrate to the 10th, a new district in lower Manhattan and northwest Brooklyn that is open as Reps. Jerry Nadler and Carolyn Maloney battle it out in the revitalized 12th District on the Upper East Side and Upper West Side.
● VT-AL: A new poll from Vermont’s Aug. 9 Democratic primary shows state Sen. Becca Balint leading 59-27 over Lt. Gov. Molly Gray in the race for the state’s open House seat. That’s similar to a recent University of New Hampshire poll that had Balint leading 63-21.
● Baltimore County, MD State’s AttorneyNearly two weeks into the Democratic primary, incumbent Scott Shellenberger found out he defeated progressive challenger Robbie Leonard 51-49 to win a fifth four-year term as Baltimore County’s top prosecutor. The race was the first time Shellenberger had faced a primary opponent since his first election victory in 2006. He will now face Republican James Haynes in November in this populous suburban district that surrounds but is not included in Baltimore City. Biden carried 62-35.